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Sep 252009
 

16 BALTIMORE 85.4%
15 DALLAS 74.6%
14 PHILADELPHIA 73.4%
13 MINNESOTA 70.7%
12 WASHINGTON 69.4%
11 GREEN BAY 69.4%
10 NEW YORK G 69.4%
9 SAN DIEGO 68%
8 NEW ORLEANS 68%
7 NEW ENGLAND 63.7%
6 PITTSBURGH 62.2%
5 HOUSTON 60.8%
4 NEW YORK J 57.7%
3 ARIZONA 57.7%
2 CHICAGO 57.7%
1 DENVER 54.7%

Possible total 136
Expected total 95.8
Std. Deviation 17
Likely range: 63 to 129
Prob. no upsets 0.13%

Here’s the complete upset probability distribution:
#Upsets Total
1 2%
2 6%
3 13%
4 19%
5 22%
6 18%
7 12%
8 6%
9 2%
10 1%
11 0%
12 0%
13 0%
14 0%
15 0%
16 0%

 Posted by on September 25, 2009 at 1:55 pm