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Oct 032009
 

Confidence Team Win(%)
14 INDIANAPOLIS 79%
13 CHICAGO 78%
12 SAN FRANCISCO 77%
11 HOUSTON 75%
10 NEW YORK G 75%
9 WASHINGTON 72%
8 NEW ORLEANS 71%
7 PITTSBURGH 68%
6 CINCINNATI 68%
5 MINNESOTA 61%
4 DALLAS 60%
3 TENNESSEE 59%
2 NEW ENGLAND 56%
1 BUFFALO 53%

105 Max. possible
76 Expected
54 to 99 Likely range
0.41% Probability perfect

Expected Upsets: 4.5Predicted Upset Distribution
#Upsets Exact At least At Most
0 0% 100% 0%
1 3% 100% 3%
2 9% 97% 12%
3 17% 88% 29%
4 23% 71% 51%
5 21% 48% 73%
6 15% 27% 88%
7 8% 12% 95%
8 3% 4% 98%
9 1% 1% 99%
10 0% 0% 100%
11 0% 0% 100%
12 0% 0% 100%
13 0% 0% 100%
14 0% 0% 100%

 Posted by on October 3, 2009 at 2:01 pm