/* ]]> */
Oct 102009
 

Point maximization confidence picks for Week 5:
Conf. Favorite WinProb
14 PHILADELPHIA 88%
13 NEW YORK G 87%
12 PITTSBURGH 79%
11 MINNESOTA 78%
10 BALTIMORE 75%
9 DALLAS 73%
8 BUFFALO 68%
7 ARIZONA 67%
6 CAROLINA 62%
5 INDIANAPOLIS 61%
4 NEW ENGLAND 59%
3 SAN FRANCISCO 58%
2 JACKSONVILLE 58%
1 NEW YORK J 56%

Expected: 78.5

Likely Range: 57 to 100

Tough to forecast the number of upsets this week. The confidence interval spans from zero to 11, with an expectation of 4.

# Upsets Exactly At Least At Most
0 0% 100% 0%
1 3% 100% 4%
2 10% 96% 14%
3 19% 86% 33%
4 23% 67% 56%
5 21% 44% 77%
6 14% 23% 90%
7 7% 10% 97%
8 2% 3% 99%
9 1% 1% 100%
10 0% 0% 100%
11 0% 0% 100%
12 0% 0% 100%
13 0% 0% 100%
14 0% 0% 100%

 Posted by on October 10, 2009 at 2:04 pm