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Oct 312009
 

For Confidence Pool participants with fewer than 30 participants, Buffalo is likely to be underbet relative to its WinProbability. You’re more likely to win this week’s payout with these picks: (Buffalo fans, your picks are below)

Points Pick WinProb
13 Buffalo 41%
12 San Diego 87%
11 Chicago 82%
10 Indianapolis 80%
9 Arizona 76%
8 New Orleans 74%
7 Dallas 73%
6 Detroit 61%
5 New York J 60%
4 Baltimore 58%
3 Tennessee 58%
2 Green Bay 58%
1 New York G 52%

For Buffalo fans, if your pool is teeming with other Buffalo fans then Buffalo probably won’t be underbet. Use this pick set instead.

Points Pick WinProb
13 Philadelphia 48%
12 San Diego 87%
11 Chicago 82%
10 Indianapolis 80%
9 Arizona 76%
8 New Orleans 74%
7 Dallas 73%
6 Detroit 61%
5 New York J 60%
4 Houston 59%
3 Baltimore 58%
2 Tennessee 58%
1 Green Bay 58%

If your pool is larger than 30 participants, you’ll need two underbet underdogs. Your choices are below:

For non-Buffalo, non-Philly fans:
Points Pick WinProb
13 Buffalo 41%
12 Philadelphia 48%
11 San Diego 87%
10 Chicago 82%
9 Indianapolis 80%
8 Arizona 76%
7 New Orleans 74%
6 Dallas 73%
5 Detroit 61%
4 New York J 60%
3 Baltimore 58%
2 Tennessee 58%
1 Green Bay 58%

For Buffalo fans:
Points Pick WinProb
13 Philadelphia 48%
12 St. Louis 39%
11 San Diego 87%
10 Chicago 82%
9 Indianapolis 80%
8 Arizona 76%
7 New Orleans 74%
6 Dallas 73%
5 New York J 60%
4 Houston 59%
3 Baltimore 58%
2 Tennessee 58%
1 Green Bay 58%

For Philly fans:
Points Pick WinProb
13 Buffalo 41%
12 St. Louis 39%
11 San Diego 87%
10 Chicago 82%
9 Indianapolis 80%
8 Arizona 76%
7 New Orleans 74%
6 Dallas 73%
5 New York J 60%
4 Baltimore 58%
3 Tennessee 58%
2 Green Bay 58%
1 New York G 52%

 Posted by on October 31, 2009 at 10:50 am