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Nov 042009
 

Confidence Favorite WinProb Underdog
13 New Orleans 79.0% Carolina
12 Atlanta 75.5% Washington
11 New England 75.4% Miami
10 Seattle 75.2% Detroit
9 Green Bay 75.0% Tampa Bay
8 Indianapolis 72.0% Houston
7 Jacksonville 67.3% Kansas City
6 New York G 61.7% San Diego
5 San Francisco 61.1% Tennessee
4 Pittsburgh 58.5% Denver
3 Baltimore 58.2% Cincinnati
2 Chicago 58.1% Arizona
1 Philadelphia 57.9% Dallas

Expected Points 65
Likely range 44 to 85
Prob. no upsets 0.5%

The upset distribution appears nearly identical to last week’s, when there were 5. The expectation is a bit over 4, the likely range is 2 to 7.

Upsets Prob.
0 1%
1 3%
2 11%
3 19%
4 23%
5 21%
6 13%
7 6%
8 2%
9 1%
10 0%
11 0%
12 0%
13 0%

 Posted by on November 4, 2009 at 6:53 pm