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Nov 092009
 

If ever there’s a week with no upsets this season, this could be the week.

Confidence Favorite WinProb Underdog
10 Ohio St 90.9% Iowa
9 TCU 90.2% Utah
8 Florida 87.8% South Carolina
7 USC 80.6% Stanford
6 Pittsburgh 71.0% Notre Dame
5 Houston 66.3% Central Florida
4 Georgia 64.0% Auburn
3 Mississippi 61.0% Tennessee
2 Oklahoma St 61.0% Texas Tech
1 Miami Florida 60.5% North Carolina

Expected Points 44
Likely range 32 to 55
Probability of zero upsets 3.94%

Predicted Upset Distribution
Upsets Total
0 4%
1 16%
2 27%
3 27%
4 17%
5 7%
6 2%
7 0%
8 0%
9 0%
10 0%

Expect 2.7 upsets, or a range of 0 to 5.6.

 Posted by on November 9, 2009 at 7:03 pm