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Nov 162009
 

Last week the predictions were for 44 points and 3 upsets and the results were 42 points and 3 upsets.

This week looks to shape up quite similarly

Confidence Favorite WinProb Underdog
10 Ohio St 82.4% Michigan
9 BYU 78.4% Air Force
8 Georgia 73.6% Kentucky
7 Stanford 72.3% California
6 Oklahoma 69.1% Texas Tech
5 Notre Dame 68.3% Connecticut
4 Oregon 66.3% Arizona
3 Mississippi 61.0% LSU
2 Boston College 61.0% North Carolina
1 Penn State 59.0% Michigan St

Expected Points 40
Likely range 26 to 54
Probability of zero upsets 2.36%

Predicted Upset Distribution
#Upsets Probability
0 2%
1 11%
2 22%
3 27%
4 21%
5 11%
6 4%
7 1%
8 0%
9 0%
10 0%

 Posted by on November 16, 2009 at 8:54 pm