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Sep 032013
 
Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
Baltimore@Denver @Denver 74.60% 15
New England@Buffalo New England 76.80% 16
Cincinnati@Chicago @Chicago 59.10% 5
Miami@Cleveland @Cleveland 50.10% 1
Minnesota@Detroit @Detroit 62.20% 10
Oakland@Indianapolis @Indianapolis 74.60% 14
Atlanta@New Orleans @New Orleans 58.60% 3
Tampa Bay@N.Y. Jets Tampa Bay 58.20% 2
Tennessee@Pittsburgh @Pittsburgh 70.10% 13
Seattle@Carolina Seattle 59.50% 7
Kansas City@Jacksonville Kansas City 59.30% 6
Arizona@St. Louis @St. Louis 63.90% 12
Green Bay@San Francisco @San Francisco 63.20% 11
N.Y. Giants@Dallas @Dallas 58.70% 4
Philadelphia@Washington @Washington 61.60% 9
Houston@San Diego Houston 60.00% 8
Possible points: 136
Expected: 90.7
Likely range: 62 to 122

 

The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

NB: Picks listed above are locked by kick-off of the first game.Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted above.

 Posted by on September 3, 2013 at 9:19 pm