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Sep 242013

Editor’s note: Revised the order of these games to be consistent with the order on Yahoo Pro Football Pickem. 9/24/13 9:20a Pacific. Also corrected Pittsburgh @ Minnesota game and Washington @ Oakland game.

Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
San Francisco@St. Louis San Francisco 59.5% 8
Baltimore@Buffalo Baltimore 60.4% 9
Cincinnati@Cleveland Cincinnati 64.0% 12
Chicago@Detroit @Detroit 57.4% 4
New York (NYG)@Kansas City @Kansas City 62.8% 10
Pittsburgh@Minnesota Pittsburgh 53.5% 1
Arizona@Tampa Bay @Tampa Bay 57.8% 5
Indianapolis@Jacksonville Indianapolis 75.4% 14
Seattle@Houston Seattle 58.9% 7
New York (NYJ)@Tennessee @Tennessee 63.3% 11
Philadelphia@Denver @Denver 80.9% 15
Washington@Oakland Washington 58.9% 6
Dallas@San Diego Dallas 55.6% 3
New England@Atlanta @Atlanta 54.0% 2
Miami@New Orleans @New Orleans 69.1% 13
Possible points: 120    
Expected: 78.9    
Likely range: 51 to 104    


The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted.
Note the date/time stamp of this post.

 Posted by on September 24, 2013 at 8:45 am