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Oct 292013

Breaking news: After Week 8, WinThatPool ranks at the top of NFLstatheads’ Battle of the Bots

Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
Cincinnati@Miami Cincinnati 53.4% 2
Kansas City@Buffalo Kansas City 59.7% 7
Minnesota@Dallas @Dallas 79.1% 11
Tennessee@St. Louis Tennessee 58.9% 6
New Orleans@N.Y. Jets New Orleans 66.5% 8
San Diego@Washington San Diego* 50.0% 1
Atlanta@Carolina @Carolina 72.0% 10
Philadelphia@Oakland Philadelphia 57.5% 4
Tampa Bay@Seattle @Seattle 90.5% 13
Baltimore@Cleveland Baltimore 58.2% 5
Pittsburgh@New England @New England 70.3% 9
Indianapolis@Houston Indianapolis 56.5% 3
Chicago@Green Bay @Green Bay 80.2% 12
Possible points: 91    
Expected: 65.1    
Likely range: 43 to 82    

The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted.
Note the date/time stamp of this post.

*For the purpose of breaking ties, WinThatPool! adds a small random number and in this case, it came out in San Diego’s favor.

 Posted by on October 29, 2013 at 5:51 am