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Nov 052013

Ed. The WinProbability for Green Bay has been revised downward since Tuesday morning. Ranks, expected points, and confidence intervals have been revised accordingly. 11/5/2013 12:53 PST

Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
Washington@Minnesota Washington 56.8% 5
Seattle@Atlanta Seattle 64.4% 8
Detroit@Chicago @Chicago 50.7% 1
Philadelphia@Green Bay @Green Bay 54.8% 3
Jacksonville@Tennessee @Tennessee 84.0% 14
St. Louis@Indianapolis @Indianapolis 77.8% 13
Oakland@N.Y. Giants @N.Y. Giants 70.9% 12
Buffalo@Pittsburgh @Pittsburgh 61.8% 7
Cincinnati@Baltimore Cincinnati 54.8% 2
Carolina@San Francisco @San Francisco 68.8% 9
Houston@Arizona @Arizona 57.2% 6
Denver@San Diego Denver 70.1% 11
Dallas@New Orleans @New Orleans 68.9% 10
Miami@Tampa Bay Miami 55.1% 4
Possible points: 105    
Expected: 72.3    
Likely range: 48 to 94    

The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted.
Note the date/time stamp of this post.

 Posted by on November 5, 2013 at 7:58 am