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Nov 192013

WinThatPool! remains the top bot after Week 11 in NFLstatheads’ Battle of the Bots

Nov 19, 6:40a PST: The WinProbability for New England has been revised downward, and ranks, expected, and likely ranges have been updated accordingly.

Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
New Orleans@Atlanta New Orleans 66.2% 12
Pittsburgh@Cleveland @Cleveland 54.7% 2
Tampa Bay@Detroit @Detroit 76.3% 13
Minnesota@Green Bay @Green Bay 62.8% 9
San Diego@Kansas City @Kansas City 65.5% 11
Chicago@St. Louis @St. Louis 54.8% 3
Carolina@Miami Carolina 61.1% 7
N.Y. Jets@Baltimore @Baltimore 61.4% 8
Jacksonville@Houston @Houston 78.0% 14
Tennessee@Oakland @Oakland 56.6% 5
Indianapolis@Arizona @Arizona 56.3% 4
Dallas@N.Y. Giants @N.Y. Giants 58.4% 6
Denver@New England @New England 50.0% 1
San Francisco@Washington San Francisco 62.8% 10
Possible points: 105    
Expected: 68.4    
Likely range: 43 to 92    

The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted.
Note the date/time stamp of this post.

 Posted by on November 19, 2013 at 7:05 am