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Sep 152014
 
Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
Pittsburgh@Baltimore @Baltimore 58.00% 3
New Orleans@Cleveland New Orleans 67.90% 12
Atlanta@Cincinnati @Cincinnati 64.60% 11
New England@Minnesota New England 60.60% 8
Detroit@Carolina @Carolina 58.00% 4
Miami@Buffalo @Buffalo 51.00% 1
Jacksonville@Washington @Washington 68.20% 13
Arizona@N.Y. Giants @N.Y. Giants 55.20% 2
Dallas@Tennessee @Tennessee 59.80% 7
Seattle@San Diego Seattle 64.10% 9
St. Louis@Tampa Bay @Tampa Bay 64.60% 10
Kansas City@Denver @Denver 82.90% 16
Houston@Oakland Houston 58.30% 6
N.Y. Jets@Green Bay @Green Bay 73.80% 15
Chicago@San Francisco @San Francisco 70.10% 14
Philadelphia@Indianapolis @Indianapolis 58.30% 5
Possible Points 136  Actual  YTD
Expected Points 91.62  77  171
95% confidence interval* 59 to 125  

*Prior to 2014 the “Likely range” reflected a 90% confidence interval. Beginning in 2014 it reflects a 95% confidence interval.

 Posted by on September 15, 2014 at 9:52 pm