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Dec 162014
 
Game Victor Win Probability Confidence
Tennessee@Jacksonville @Jacksonville 58.9% 3
Philadelphia@Washington Philadelphia 74.9% 14
San Diego@San Francisco @San Francisco 56.2% 1
Green Bay@Tampa Bay Green Bay 78.7% 16
Kansas City@Pittsburgh @Pittsburgh 59.4% 4
Atlanta@New Orleans @New Orleans 68.1% 10
New England@N.Y. Jets New England 78.5% 15
Minnesota@Miami @Miami 69.6% 11
Baltimore@Houston Baltimore 64.6% 8
Cleveland@Carolina @Carolina 61.5% 6
Detroit@Chicago Detroit 70.3% 12
N.Y. Giants@St. Louis @St. Louis 64.4% 7
Indianapolis@Dallas @Dallas 58.7% 2
Buffalo@Oakland Buffalo 67.6% 9
Seattle@Arizona Seattle 74.0% 13
Denver@Cincinnati Denver 59.9% 5
Possible Points Expected Actual YTD
136 95.7   1,308**
95% confidence interval* 60 to 126  

*Based on 100,000 simulated outcomes

** For several weeks the YTD totals have been understated by 3 points in both the Ranks posts and the Results posts. These errors have been corrected in the Results posts. They have not been corrected in the Ranks posts until this one, so as not to change the dates when it appears the final Ranks were published or updated.

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on December 16, 2014 at 11:12 am