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NFL Super Bowl 50 pick

 2015, NFL, playoffs, Win probability  Comments Off on NFL Super Bowl 50 pick
Jan 252016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
16 Carolina 63.5% Carolina@Denver
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
10.16 16 0 to 16
YTD  
1,473  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 25, 2016 at 4:42 pm

2015 NFL Playoff Conference Round: 8 points

 2015, NFL, playoffs, Results  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Playoff Conference Round: 8 points
Jan 252016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
16 New England 59.6% New England@Denver
8 @Carolina 58.9% Arizona@Carolina
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
8 14.24 24 0 to 24
YTD  
1,473  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 25, 2016 at 4:27 pm

2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Conference round

 2015, Confidence pool, NFL, playoffs, Win probability  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Conference round
Jan 182016
 

(1/25/2016: Corrected “Possible” points.)

Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
16 New England 59.6% New England@Denver
8 @Carolina 58.9% Arizona@Carolina
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
14.24 24 0 to 24
YTD  
1,465  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 18, 2016 at 2:09 pm

2015 NFL Playoff Divisional Round: 40 points

 2015, NFL, playoffs, Results  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Playoff Divisional Round: 40 points
Jan 182016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
12 @New England 65.1% Kansas City@New England
16 @Arizona 70.0% Green Bay@Arizona
4 @Carolina 58.5% Seattle@Carolina
8 @Denver 62.8% Pittsburgh@Denver
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
 40 26.38 40 4 to 40
YTD  
1,465  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 18, 2016 at 1:56 pm

2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Divisional round

 2015, Confidence pool, NFL, playoffs, Win probability  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Divisional round
Jan 122016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
12 @New England 65.1% Kansas City@New England
16 @Arizona 70.0% Green Bay@Arizona
4 @Carolina 58.5% Seattle@Carolina
8 @Denver 62.8% Pittsburgh@Denver
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
26.38 40 4 to 40
YTD  
1,425  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 12, 2016 at 9:26 am

2015 NFL Playoff Wildcard Round: 36 points

 2015, Confidence pool, NFL, playoffs, Results  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Playoff Wildcard Round: 36 points
Jan 122016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
12 Kansas City 58.1% Kansas City@Houston
8 Pittsburgh 55.4% Pittsburgh@Cincinatti
16 Seattle 59.7% Seattle@Minnesota
4 @Washington 51.2% Green Bay@Washington
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
 36 23.02 40 0 to 40
YTD  
1,425  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 12, 2016 at 6:53 am

2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Wildcard round

 NFL  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Confidence Pool Picks – Wildcard round
Jan 042016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
12 Kansas City 58.1% Kansas City@Houston
8 Pittsburgh 55.4% Pittsburgh@Cincinatti
16 Seattle 59.7% Seattle@Minnesota
4 @Washington 51.2% Green Bay@Washington
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
23.02 40 0 to 40
YTD  
1,389  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

If you notice any errors, as always, email contact_at_winthatpool_dot_com.

 Posted by on January 4, 2016 at 9:35 am

2015 NFL Week 17: 86 points

 NFL  Comments Off on 2015 NFL Week 17: 86 points
Jan 042016
 
Conf. Victor Win Probability Game
7 @Atlanta 61.8% New Orleans@Atlanta
3 N.Y. Jets 58.9% N.Y. Jets@Buffalo
1 @Chicago 53.0% Detroit@Chicago
12 @Cincinnati 71.3% Baltimore@Cincinnati
15 Pittsburgh 77.6% Pittsburgh@Cleveland
2 @Dallas 58.9% Washington@Dallas
10 @Indianapolis 67.4% Tennessee@Indianapolis
14 New England 75.1% New England@Miami
4 @N.Y. Giants 59.2% Philadelphia@N.Y. Giants
9 @Houston 67.4% Jacksonville@Houston
13 @Denver 74.5% San Diego@Denver
11 @Kansas City 69.9% Oakland@Kansas City
8 @Arizona 63.0% Seattle@Arizona
6 St. Louis 60.6% St. Louis@San Francisco
16 @Carolina 78.9% Tampa Bay@Carolina
5 @Green Bay 59.7% Minnesota@Green Bay
Actual Expected Possible 95% confidence interval*
86 95.32 136 60 to 126
YTD  
1,389  

*Based on 100,000 simulations

 Posted by on January 4, 2016 at 7:16 am