March Madness

NFL
Predictions

| Payoff Values | Bracket |


1. Guess the number of entries other than yours:


2. Enter your pool's points per correct pick in each round			1	2	3	4	5	6
2. Enter your pool's points per correct pick in each round

3. Pick a source for estimating teams' popularity:

4. Toggle between discrete and cumulative payoff:

5. Click "Update." To read how to interpret and use this table, scroll to the bottom of the page
			Payoff Values, All Teams (click "Update" if table is blank)
			Round
Region	Seed	Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
West	1
	16
	8
	9
	5
	12
	4
	13
	6
	11
	3
	14
	10
	7
	2
	15
East	1
	16
	8
	9
	5
	12
	4
	13
	6
	11
	3
	14
	10
	7
	2
	15
SoWest	1
	16
	8
	9
	5
	12
	4
	13
	6
	11
	3
	14
	10
	7
	2
	15
SoEast	1
	16
	8
	9
	5
	12
	4
	13
	6
	11
	3
	14
	10
	7
	2
	15


	This table lists each team's expected payoff for picking it to survive through the indicated round. It takes into account each team's expected survival rate, popularity, the size of your pool, and the number of points a correct pick is worth. Compare values vertically within cells.




	The default values are cumulative, so begin by picking a champion in Round 6. Then work backward, picking one opponent in Round 5, two more opponents in Round 4, four more in Round 3, etc., picking one team for each cell (game). Play with different numbers of entries to see how much your chances change depending on the size of your pool. Toggle from "Cumulative" to "Discrete" to see how each round's scenario adds to the cumulative payoff.

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