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Nov 182009
 

Confidence Favorite WinProb Underdog
16 Dallas 80.6% Washington
15 New Orleans 80.6% Tampa Bay
14 Minnesota 80.6% Seattle
13 New England 79.6% New York J
12 Pittsburgh 78.4% Kansas City
11 Cincinnati 77.3% Oakland
10 Arizona 76.1% St Louis
9 Jacksonville 74.9% Buffalo
8 New York G 69.6% Atlanta
7 Green Bay 69.6% San Francisco
6 Houston 64.0% Tennessee
5 Detroit 61.0% Cleveland
4 Carolina 59.5% Miami
3 Philadelphia 59.5% Chicago
2 San Diego 58.0% Denver
1 Baltimore 51.8% Indianapolis

Expected Points 102
Likely range 76 to 128
Probability of zero upsets 0.29%

Upsets Total
0 0%
1 2%
2 7%
3 15%
4 21%
5 21%
6 17%
7 10%
8 5%
9 2%
10 0%
11 0%
12 0%
13 0%
14 0%
15 0%
16 0%

Expected 4.8
Likely range 2 to 8

 Posted by on November 18, 2009 at 7:54 pm
Nov 102009
 

Confidence Favorite WinProb Underdog
15 Minnesota 84.6% Detroit
14 New Orleans 81.0% St Louis
13 Baltimore 77.0% Cleveland
12 Miami 73.9% Tampa Bay
11 Arizona 71.1% Seattle
10 Pittsburgh 68.6% Cincinnati
9 New York J 67.7% Jacksonville
8 Tennessee 67.6% Buffalo
7 Denver 60.2% Washington
6 San Francisco 58.2% Chicago
5 Dallas 57.9% Green Bay
4 Indianapolis 57.7% New England
3 San Diego 56.6% Philadelphia
2 Oakland 56.5% Kansas City
1 Atlanta 54.9% Carolina

Expected Points 85
Likely range 61 to 110
Probability of zero upsets 0.2%

Expect between 2 and 8 upsets this week.

Upsets Prob%
0 0%
1 1%
2 5%
3 12%
4 19%
5 22%
6 19%
7 12%
8 6%
9 2%
10 1%
11 0%
12 0%
13 0%
14 0%
15 0%

 Posted by on November 10, 2009 at 6:07 pm